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Tropical Storm Vance: intense rain in Sinaloa and very heavy rain in Baja California Sur, Nayarit and Durango

Vance strengthened again into a tropical storm early Thursday off Mexico's Pacific coast. The National Weather Service forecasts up to 150 millimeters of rain in Sinaloa and waves of up to 3 meters.

1 min read · October 29, 2026
Storm Vance seen from space on October 22, 2026, days before it approached Sinaloa.
Storm Vance seen from space on October 22, 2026, days before it approached Sinaloa.Photo: NOAA · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons · resized.

Translated from the original Spanish article. Read in Spanish

News published on October 29, 2026. The situation may have changed since then.

Tropical Storm Vance regained strength early on Thursday, October 29, off Mexico's Pacific coast.

Mexico's National Weather Service (SMN), part of Conagua, is asking people in several states to follow official alerts.

Where it is

At 9:00 a.m. on Thursday, its center was about 185 kilometers southeast of Cabo San Lucas, Baja California Sur, and 300 kilometers southwest of Mazatlán, Sinaloa.

It had maximum winds of 65 km/h, with gusts of 85 km/h, and was moving north at about 13 km/h. It is expected to weaken gradually.

How much rain

SMN forecast for the next 24 hours:

- Intense rain (75 to 150 mm): central and southern Sinaloa. - Very heavy rain (50 to 75 mm): southern Baja California Sur, northern Nayarit and western Durango.

150 millimeters of rain equals 150 liters of water on every square meter of ground.

Wind and waves

The coasts of Sinaloa and Nayarit will see gusts of 40 to 60 km/h. Waves could reach 2 to 3 meters in Baja California Sur, Sinaloa and Nayarit, and 1 to 2 meters on the coast of Jalisco.

Authorities warn of possible landslides, rising rivers and streams and flooding in low-lying areas.

What to do

Civil Protection recommends:

- Do not cross rivers, streams or flooded streets, on foot or by car. - Stay away from fallen cables and poles. - Keep an emergency bag ready with your documents. - Follow alerts from the SMN and your state's Civil Protection.

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Sources (in Spanish)

  • Ubicación, vientos, lluvias, oleaje y recomendaciones (SMN y Protección Civil): UnoTV (29 de octubre de 2026).
  • Reintensificación y estados afectados: MVS Noticias (29 de octubre de 2026).
  • Debilitamiento previsto: Debate (29 de octubre de 2026).
  • Aviso oficial: Servicio Meteorológico Nacional.

Photos are from Wikimedia Commons under free licenses; the author and license are shown under each image.